This out of favor AI stock is 'getting much more interesting': Mizuho

According to a recent note from Mizuho, one out of favor stock is becoming a compelling long-term investment, despite its current unpopularity in the market. 

Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) has fallen from its early February high of $630 to around $483 due to weaker-than-expected net new annual recurring revenue (ARR) results. 

Mizuho suggests that Adobe might be "one of the most out of favor and under-owned large-cap software stocks out there" with "horrible" sentiment.

Despite the negative sentiment, one Mizuho analyst remains confident that Adobe is not destined for the AI loser bucket. 

He argues that excluding the year-over-year price increase in Creative offerings they are lapping, the net new ARR growth would be closer to 20% year over year compared to the current flat growth. 

Furthermore, Mizuho says that as Adobe laps the price increases and starts to benefit from the November price increase from late last year, its ARR growth will improve. Additionally, new offerings and the monetization of Adobe Firefly are expected to serve as catalysts in the coming year.

While Adobe's stock has been relatively stagnant at the $475-485 level, and Mizuho doesn't see a near-term catalyst, they feel the risk-reward profile is very attractive over the next six months. 

"Maybe buy a small amount and wait," the note suggests, indicating that patient investors could find value in Adobe as market conditions evolve.